Thursday 24 March 2016

Dyson preparing to hoover up the re-chargeable battery market?

News that Dyson will spend £1bn – plus a UK grant of £16m in last week’s budget - on battery development over the next five years has to serve as a warning that this innovative disruptor is on the move again…

Following a 2015 acquisition of Satki3, a U.S. maker of solid-state lithium-ion batteries for $90m, having previously invested $15m in the Michigan firm, Dyson is ready to invest in the firm’s discovery that it has found a way to produce batteries with twice the energy storage potential of standard lithium-ion models, at a half to a third of the cost.

A step too far?
I still blush when I recall a very early competitive brainstorming session conducted for a defunct supplier where we concluded that whilst a see-through vacuum cleaner model might appeal ‘in the shop’, the first-use viewing of gathered dust would soon alienate most consumers…Dyson obviously knew better...
  • While the immediate application for new batteries would probably be in Dyson’s existing cordless products, they have potential uses in everything from electric cars to tablet computers
  • In other words, imagine the disruptive appeal of twice the energy storage potential of standard lithium-ion models, at a half to a third of the cost...

Wednesday 23 March 2016

Tesco Takes On Discounters With Seven New Value Own Label Ranges, So?



                                                                                                                                pic: Marketing Week

News that Tesco stepped up its fight against the discounters yesterday by launching a host of new value-orientated own label ranges in the fresh produce and meat categories raises some questions:
  • What are the chances of Tesco value-labels possibly being perceived as 'cheap' versions of the Tesco brand, a downward stretch, whilst discounter surrogate labels look equivalent to brands in quality, an upward stretch?
  • Same quality, same price, different perception...?
  • ...and the ultimate question being: Which customer is more likely to say “Wow”?

Tuesday 22 March 2016

Sainsbury’s Confirms Offer for Home Retail - the next steps and imlications

News that Sainsbury’s moved a step closer to sealing the takeover of the Home Retail Group/Argos on Friday, by tabling a formal offer for the business after rival bidder Steinhoff International pulled out, raises a number of implications...

NAM Implications:
  • Whilst as yet, there is no obviously sign of an amply-proportioned lady vocalist preparing to take centre-stage, this looks like a done-deal...
  • Obviously the competition authorities will play their part - delay & distraction - but management’s immediate focus has to be on squeezing costs and generating synergies from the mix…
  • This has to result in well-heralded store closures - otherwise why bother to acquire - and if this means 300 Argos being transferred into nearby space-to-spare Sainsbury’s branches, so be it
  • Ultimately, the Sainsbury’s-Argos combination has to perform better than the separate entities
  • ...meaning opportunities for visionary suppliers


Thursday 17 March 2016

Unit-pricing: The 'missing' ingredient in price comparison


The latest Which? Report highlights the 'up to' 4x premium shoppers pay for the convenience of pre-sliced and pre-portioned foods. The price disadvantage of buying smaller sizes of other essentials is also highlighted.

Whilst retailers can obviously point out that in most cases the unit price is displayed on the price-label to facilitate like-with-like price comparison, the only problem can be the fact that many consumers do not understand the meaning of unit pricing, apart from the mental gymnastics required in breaking down 100g, kilos and volume-equivalents in the case of liquids.

In effect, the unit-price serves little useful purpose and may even add to the confusion of the shopper...and given that confusion leads to suspicion, it can be seen that the real casualty is trust in the retailer...

On-shelf education could be applied via a standardised category league-table of price per 100g comparisons, in very simple language...

Patronising? No way. We are not talking about degrees of intelligence, merely accepting that a busy, distracted shopper is only giving 10% of their attention to true comparison, based on a reasonable level of trust in the retailer...

Allowing the current confusion to continue can lose both trust and shopper...

Of course teaching consumer-shoppers to understand unit pricing makes the consumer better-informed and more difficult to mislead...

Welcome to the new world savvy consumer!

Professional NAMs already take that risk by helping the buyer to make valid like-with-like comparisons, thereby making them more demanding, but the current climate demands a fully informed supply chain.

Helping the 'buyer' to buy can help...

Wednesday 16 March 2016

Aldi/Lidl - Home of the missing 'Wow'?


'Aldi and Lidl starting to look like 'conventional' supermarkets', but they are not...

Recent statements by Sainsbury's, Asda and Tesco implying that discounters are adopting some aspects of conventional supermarkets -including costs - but will not match them on range and service miss a point that may be worth considering.

A visit to your nearest Aldi/Lidl will confirm that 'Wow' is a significant ingredient in the discounter offering that may have been bred out of multiple offerings by EDLP and 100% availability...
Furthermore, as the mults increasingly cut prices to match the discounters, they might need to consider possible consumer-shopper reaction in each business model:
  • When prices are lowered from the long-established 'norm' in a conventional supermarket, the reaction may be 'why are they only charging this price for such good quality?'
  • ...whereas, in a discounter offering the same quality at a slightly lower or even the same price may cause a shopper to ask 'Wow, imagine this quality for this price'...!
In fact, as supermarkets lower their prices to discounter levels, they may still be subject to this difference in reaction.

If 'wow' is now the missing ingredient, the way back for the mults is surely via customer service, something the discounters can never hope to match...

In other words, why not aim at evoking the aisle-response 'Wow, imagine them giving me this degree of personal attention on a simple request!'

Tuesday 15 March 2016

What if Bent Veg become the New Straight?

News that Tesco has joined Asda and Morrisons this week in launching a ‘wonky veg’ range in its stores, as part of an 11 step food waste reduction campaign, raises a number of issues for stakeholders.

This initiative will obviously benefit the ever increasing needy and also reduce the pressure on farmers to meet ‘perfect shape’ specifications, resulting in less delivery-rejects.

However, suppose ‘wonky veg’ also touches a live nerve with consumers, appealing to their appetite for ‘natural’, down-to-earth food that also happens to be cheaper because of its imperfection…but tastes as good as, or even better than the ‘real thing’?

(NAMs closer to the category will know that taste and flavour were long ago compromised in the pursuit of perfection in shape).

In other words, if ‘wonky’ becomes mainstream, and even grows to say 50/50 share with ‘straight’, are we then on a road to specifying different degrees of ‘wonkyness’ in a new range of wonky sub-categories, ‘re-upping’ the pressure on farmers to meet the new specs, and also diluting retail profitability…

We are truely living in crazy times…

Friday 11 March 2016

Staff wages - Aldi Ireland’s hidden extra in the battle for market share

Given Aldi’s natural reticence, a surprisingly detailed 2,000 word article in today’s Irish Times gives some useful insights into the Aldi business model, much of which can be applied to its UK operation.

The article describes Aldi as a logistical and ergonomic-driven machine, a finely-tuned operating model, where “everybody knows what they have to do, and how to do it”, which helps it keep costs to a minimum.

Moreover, its emphasis on exclusive surrogate labels means the packaging, the case it arrives in, the way it gets delivered and shipped to store in shelf-ready packaging, is all under Aldi’s control.

Also, just-in-case, mystery shoppers are employed at each store to ensure that theory is reflected in practice… 

However, the fact that staff are paid at, or above the living wage, and the discounter is known as the best paying retailer in the market, means if the same policy holds in the UK, Aldi will not have to absorb the additional wage cost increases that will put additional cost pressures on UK mults when they have to comply with minimum wage legislation.

Methinks the discounter's competitive edge may be sharper than we thought...?

Much more detail in the Irish Times Article

Thursday 10 March 2016

Amazon elevates delivery to a new level by leasing 20 Boeing cargo planes

News that its US Prime members will benefit in terms of delivery speed and availability from Amazon’s decision to in-source its bulk transportation came as little surprise to observers following its experiments with drone delivery and pre-assembly of anticipated orders.

This latest move reinforces Amazon’s determination to be a global source of anything that can be legally sold to anyone, anywhere, anytime, in any way required by the consumer.

In other words, plane-leasing should not be expected to remain a US initiative for long…

By taking more control of fulfillment, and removing middle men, the company is reducing costs from the supply chain, eliminating duplication-inefficiencies and offering virtually 100% availability via its infinite online shelving.

In the process they are setting industry standards in terms of 1-Click ordering, ever-shortening delivery times, and ‘no-quibble’ returns, in an industry that is stumbling along in their wake…

Moreover, Amazon have managed to persuade loyal users to pay for and become Prime Members, thus triggering another steady revenue stream…

When you think about it, leasing a few Boeing cargo planes is but another step on a very comprehensive journey by an ultimate practitioner of customer-centricity...

Can anyone really afford to be outside this unique business model…?

Wednesday 9 March 2016

A space race, but not as we know it....online retailers could be hit by warehouse space shortage

According to a new report by property consultancy LSH in International Business Times, Amazon, Tesco, Argos and other online retailers could be hit by shrinking warehouse space. In fact, logistics space fell from a peak of 360 million sq. ft. in 2012 to 200 million sq. ft. in 2015 (Reuters).

Lambert Smith Hampton (LSH) predict that demand will exceed supply by 25 million sq. ft. by the end of the decade.

Given these retailers use a network of warehouses to ensure faster delivery of goods to customers, the shortage of storage space will affect their delivery capabilities.

Knowing that the retailers involved - and their online shoppers - don’t do waiting, it is unlikely that they will await the 1-year construction time of new-builds, and will instead race to buy available space.

Ironically, given the planning legislation, and different prices/rentals for retail vs. industrial usage, those B&M retailers with redundant large-space cannot simply switch some of their outlets over to online warehousing, although some may compromise, and ‘make do’ in the short term...

More likely we are probably going to see more consolidation/takeovers of any source of suitable warehousing, and even inter-retailer collaboration as stakeholders demonstrate their determination not to compromise the potential of the only growth-channel in town…

For suppliers, this means more complicated and rapid response logistics arrangements in a fast changing logistics landscape.

It is hopefully obvious that they will not be allowed to compromise online retailers’ ability to meet online-shopper need, as speed and availability become the only real differentiators in the online race… 

Tuesday 8 March 2016

When you don't need the brand name...

HT to Phill Barnett for pointer

Supermarkets Fastest Growth In Five Months - Source & Impact?

Taking the latest results from Nielsen and Kantar, it is encouraging that some of the mults appear to be coming back (possibly at the expense of other multiples?)…no-one ever wanted these guys to fail, and besides so much of the supplier business model is built upon growth and the mults having a major slice of the action.

However, brand-owners might usefully think about the split between brand and private label of the market data. Add to this the high rate of discounter market share growth, again at the relative expense of brands’ demand and a different picture of recovery emerges..

All pointing to the fact that brand premia are being eroded, hopefully triggering a return to basics, real basics, by the realists… 

Monday 7 March 2016

Tesco Ireland Fails To Convince Court That It Can’t Afford To Pay Staff Bonuses

News that The Labour Court in Ireland has recommended that Tesco’s Irish business pay staff their 2015 bonuses despite the retailer saying that it is not in a position to do so given its weak trading performance in the country, could have unintended consequences:

• If Tesco decide to fight this recommendation, in open court, they may be forced to divulge local profit margins…
• …with the inevitable knock-on impact in terms of putting other retailers' profitability in the spotlight
• …all in a local environment that is being increasingly subjected to corporate tax scrutiny by the US and EU…

On the bottom line, every little helps...


Friday 4 March 2016

Muhammad Ali - an inspiration to Ovaltine and the team


News that an exhibition dedicated to the great man is opening today at the O2, calls to mind his first product-endorsement tour of the UK.

Back in 1971, Ali agreed to work for a week promoting Ovaltine via an extended train trip around the UK, stopping at every station that was near a supermarket, inviting the local managers on board to meet the champ and disembark at the next station, inspired for life, in many cases.

We even managed to secure an interview on the new Michael Parkinson TV chat show, an episode that has been repeated many times since.

To our surprise, we found Ali to be a modest, even shy man, with immense presence, whose can-do attitude proved to be an inspiration personally and to other members of the team.

As fans will know, because of illness, Muhammed Ali will not be able to attend the opening session, but he has sent a mock-epilogue to commemorate the event:

'I would like to be remembered as a man who won the heavyweight title three times.

Who was humorous and who treated everyone right.

As a man who never looked down on those who looked up to him.

And who helped as many people as he could.

As a man who stood up for his beliefs no matter what.

As a man who tried to unite all humankind through faith and love.

And if all that's too much then I guess I'd settle for being remembered only as a great boxer who became a leader and a champion of his people.

And I wouldn't even mind if folks forgot how pretty I was.

Be cool and look out for the ladies!'

Wednesday 2 March 2016

Guest Blog: Are your customers taking the….funding??

By Ian Yates, Director at Barcanet

Ever had one of those days? Just as you finalise the sales and growth forecast, your key customer (or someone on their behalf) sends you that email….

‘Some years ago, your predecessors, predecessor agreed a promotion on the product you no-longer manufacture.  We have been going through our records and found that we sold a lot, but didn’t ask you for all the funding, therefore you owe us lots of money (we haven’t added loss of interest as I think we can settle this quickly ;-).  Please find attached 200 pages of documentation that substantiates what we are saying.  We will knock the value off the next payment to you.  I don’t anticipate this will impact the funding you are offering on future promotions.  Have a nice day.’

Let me explain the chain of events that got you here:
  1. Three years ago, the buying team at the customer did some analysis on what was sold during the agreed promotion, calculated what funding you owed and you paid the invoice.
  2. Around 6-months later, the customers internal finance team found that a whole bunch of sales hadn’t been included in the original calculation.  Did a new calculation and raised another invoice – you paid that as well.
  3. Another 6-12 months later, an external ‘recovery-audit’ company (specialising in retail funding/promotions) trawled through the transactions and found yet more discrepancy.  The customer had forgotten to include in the calculation all stock that was bought for the promotion (i.e. before the promotion actually started), not just what was sold.  They sent a claim to your predecessor, he hadn’t time to review it so agreed a settlement.
  4. Two years later (now), a different ‘recovery-audit’ company is doing another review.  They think they have found more errors, they aren’t altogether sure, but it kind-of looks like there are some mistakes, so they have raised a series of claims with a lot of back-up documents and sent them to you for review.
And here we are, the onus on you to fix a mess from before you even joined the company.  What do you do now?

My guess, is negotiate another settlement?  Finance and IT haven’t the time (or inclination) to get you the data, and lets be honest you don’t have the time or inclination to analyse it – so its easier to negotiate with the customer.

And that is exactly what these audit companies want.  They are remunerated by taking a share of whatever they are able to recover from you for the customer - so the more claims they raise, the more likely a negotiated settlement, the more they get paid.

Not only does this cost your business money (and cold cash at that), but it impacts on this year’s marketing budget, which means less promotions and reduces your chances of achieving target – lets start again on the sales plan!

OK, yes we can help you analyse and, where appropriate, rebut those claims (and that is a worthwhile exercise freeing your time and money).  More importantly, how do you manage this whole promotional funding process better?

Of course, utopia is for your ERP system to connect with the various promotional, ordering and AR systems to effectively manage this – but that will cost – both in time and £’s.

Quicker and cheaper – introduce a process where the relevant data is taken from these disparate systems and centrally stored and analysed on an ongoing basis, so you know your exposure at any given time (if you like, the reverse of what the recovery-audit companies do).

As a very quick starting point, here are 4 tips you should consider implementing to reduce the promotional funding administration processes:
  1. Consider inserting additional clauses into funding arrangements;
    a. ‘claims for funding’ must be made within 6-months of the promotion finishing.
    b. in the event any ‘claims for funding’ submitted are found to be illegitimate, we will charge you (the customer) at a rate of £150 per hour for the time taken to investigate and reject the claim.
    c. informing suppliers that any disclosure of ‘pricing’ or agreements to any 3rd parties will contravene the agreement or deal, this should include ‘Audit Recovery’ firms.
  2. Agree that calculations and submissions made by the customer will be treated as full and final - request a declaration from the customer before settling any funding or any cessation of supply of any product or service, confirming they have received the correct payment for goods or services to date.
  3. Build a centralised ‘log’ of claims received by customer and the settled value – showing a high % of ‘false’ claims makes negotiating the next one a little easier.
  4. Identify (internally or with the help of a 3rd party) underpayments, payments not within ‘agreed terms’ and over deductions made and submit as ‘Counter Claims’. These will at least reduce the value of any claim and may result in the customer not pursuing their claims further.
For further information or a confidential discussion, contact Ian Yates, Director at Barcanet 
Email: ian.yates@barcanet.com or Tel. +44 7868-745705

Tuesday 1 March 2016

Queueless, Cashierless Convenience, 24/7 - a Swedish Smartshop


According to Associated Press reports in Gizmodo, a 480 sq. ft. store that operates via smartphone has opened in Viken, Sweden.

A door-opening app-scan registers and allows access to creditworthy customers 24/7, goods are purchased by scanning the barcode, and the bill is paid monthly.

Behold the convenient convenience outlet of the future… 

BTW, six security cameras and a ‘crow-bar wielding’ human owner ensure the shrink-proofing of a business model that aims to bring small shops back to many communities in Sweden that have been swallowed up by supermarkets and big chain stores.

As the son of Mom ‘n Pop grocers, I would caution against the 1-month credit facility, but otherwise this Smartshop looks scaleable, exportable, and is possibly a way of diluting the minimum living wage issue for major retailers?

More here