Friday 10 September 2021

Owners Of Asda Considering $15bn Sale Of Forecourt empire EG Group

According to Bloomberg, the Blackburn-based company is working with various banks including Rothschild, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Barclays to consider its options, which also include a stock market listing.

TDR Capital-backed EG Group, founded in 2001 by Issa brothers, has grown by acquisitions to approx. 6,000 forecourt sites in the UK, US, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and Australia.

NamNews Implications:
  • A fast-moving post-Lockdown world, full of surprises, or what?
  • (and given that 2020 counts as a decade, we should all be more expert in optimising change…)
  • This would be an expensive way of testing the potential value of the Group…
  • …so we at NamNews are treating this as a real offer.
  • In which case, what-ifs all round…
  • Especially if a victorious 7-11 brings their hyper-efficient retailing into play.
  • Difficult to ignore this space!!!
#ReSell #EGAsdaGroup #ExitStrategy


Thursday 2 September 2021

Tesco Is A Better Target For Private Equity Firms

Financial advisory firm Bernstein suggested in The Grocer that Tesco was the “most attractive” of the UK food retailers for private equity investors. “The turnaround is complete, the business is simplified, diversified and dominant, and the next five years are set to be a story of consistent, strong execution and returning to shareholders.”

Tesco’s market cap is nearly £20bn, with an enterprise value of £32bn when debt is added, making for the biggest potential acquisition in the UK.

NamNews Implications:
  • From a NAMs-eye-view, the possibility of a company being in play means a distraction for management.
  • (The price paid in a takeover determines the degree of Sale & Leaseback and pressure on financial performance)
  • A private equity buyer means a five-year exit strategy via re-flotation, even more emphasis on financial performance.
  • Therein the opportunity for suppliers:
    • Propose initiatives that demonstrate a direct impact on Tesco’s bottom line…
    • …and will look good to bidders.

Thursday 26 August 2021

End of the road: Soho's al fresco festival to end in September


It has been one of the few positives to come out of the Covid-19 pandemic, but as the virus recedes it appears so will Soho’s al fresco revival.

Westminster City Council has informed businesses that traffic will be re-introduced to Soho’s streets at the end of September, bringing to an end the weekend and evening pedestrian takeover of the capital’s oldest entertainment district.

Restaurants with existing licences will still be able to use pavements, but roads will be off-limits.
The streets affected by the ending of the temporary road closures include Frith St, Greek St, Dean St, Moor St and the buzzing Old Compton Street.

NamNews Implications:
  • 'SOHO needs al fresco to survive' says it all
  • City A.M. understands the Council are open to the idea of extending alfresco schemes where residents are keen
  • Key that residents act...
  • More here

Wednesday 25 August 2021

Lidl GB Set To Roll Out Eco Label Trial

The ‘Eco-Score’ system utilises open-source data to independently grade products on their sustainability credentials, such as including production methods, impact on biodiversity, packaging and carbon footprint. 

Products also receive better scores where they are certified to third party schemes such as Fairtrade and Rainforest Alliance. The products are then assigned colour codes, ranging from green ‘A’ (low impact) to red ‘E’ (high impact).

The move will initially cover more than 50 Lidl own label products across all 105 of its outlets in Scotland, beginning October 2021. The products included in the trial include teas, coffees, and hot chocolate.

NamNews Implications:
  • If shoppers are in favour, and vote with their feet…
  • …anticipate a full roll-out.
  • As a pointer for all…
  • Despite the inevitability of a shelf-price cost?

Growing In-Store Visits Lead To Online Grocery Decline

For the four weeks to 14 August 2021, total till sales were up 1.1% year-on-year to £7.7bn, partially helped by the short heatwave in July, which saw sales for the week ending 24 July jump up 6.2%.

NielsenIQ said the growth was driven by 50 million more in-store visits (+12%) during the four-week period.



NamNews Implications:
  • Key for suppliers to compare by category.
  • And budget accordingly.
  • Medium and longer-term, best to try and anticipate how long it will take for online to grow from 13% to 50% of sales.
  • (again finetuned by category and channel, where possible)
  • Good NielsenIQ advice to factor in consumer uncertainty….
  • As the market reopens…

Monday 23 August 2021

New HFSS Rules To Make More Space Available In Supermarkets

The new regulations concerning in-store promotion and off-shelf display of high fat, salt and sugar (HFSS) products, which will come into force in 2022, are expected to result in 26% of shelf-space in UK supermarkets being “up for grabs”, according to new research from IRI.

IRI noted that HFSS categories – including confectionery, yoghurts and fruit juices – currently make up 38% of actual store space, but this is forecast to drop to just 12% when the new restrictions are introduced.

NamNews Implications:
  • ‘HFSS currently make up 38% of actual store space, but this is forecast to drop to just 12%’
  • (note also chilled category impact)
  • Best keep in mind that any category/brand hoping to optimise space released…
  • …will need to at least match HFSS financial performance, sales and gross profits, vacating the space.
#HFSSRetailSpace

Private Equity Firm Now Eyeing Sainsbury’s?

According to The Sunday Times, US group Apollo is said to be looking at options regarding the supermarket group. 

The paper noted that this interest is exploratory, while a Bloomberg report cited unnamed sources to add that Apollo has not hired any advisers yet.

NamNews Implications:
  • A bid of £7bn+ should get the ball rolling...
  • Re-entering a period of distraction for Sainsbury’s management.
  • Supply and Retail…
  • Meanwhile, a short- & medium-term focus on financial performance.
  • …by reflex, if not by design.