Tuesday 16 July 2024

Brands Outperform Own Label While Tesco And Waitrose Make Share Gains

Brands Outperform Own Label While Tesco And Waitrose Make Share Gains

Latest data from Kantar shows that take-home sales at the UK’s leading grocers rose by 2.2% over the four weeks to 7 July, boosted by football fans purchasing beers, crisps and other snacks during the Euros.

Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, commented:
Football fans drove beer sales up by an average of 13% on the days that the England men’s team played, compared with the same day during the previous week. Sales of crisps and snacks up 5% vs month before. With many matches played on ‘school nights’, though, some Britons chose moderation. Spending on no and low-alcohol beer soared by 38% on matchdays.”

Grocery price inflation down to 1.6% –  lowest since September 2021. The drop coincided with the fastest rise in monthly footfall so far in 2024. Consumers supermarket trips up 2%  this period vs one year ago.

Meanwhile, as cost of living pressures started to ease for some people, sales of branded products increased by 3.6%, outpacing own-label items, which grew by 2.7%.

After a difficult few years, Kantar noted that retailers will now be turning their attention to the King’s Speech on Wednesday to see what the newly elected government’s legislative agenda holds for the grocery sector.

Looking at the performance of individual retailers, Ocado was the fastest-growing grocer for the fifth month in a row, with sales up by 10.7% over the 12 weeks to 7 July. The online retailer now holds 1.8% of the market, up 0.1 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

Lidl saw a 7.8% jump in sales, bringing its share of the market to 8.1%. Aldi continued to struggle for growth, with its market share slipping to 10% after a 0.3% increase in sales.

Waitrose gained share for the first time since January 2022, achieving a 0.1 percentage point rise to 4.5% as spending at the retailer increased by 3.3%.

Tesco achieved its biggest share gain since November 2021, taking 27.7% of the market – a 0.7 percentage point increase versus last year – after a 4.6% rise in sales. Sainsbury’s saw its sales climb 4.7%, bringing its share to 15.3%.

Meanwhile, it was another difficult period for Asda, with its sales down 5.3% and market share slipping to 12.7%. Morrisons managed a 1% increase in sales, with its share unchanged at 8.7%.

NamNews  Implications:
·        Despite their efforts/initiatives, Asda continue to lose share to Tesco & Sainsbury’s.
·        Given private equity involvement, anticipate cuts at Asda to improve EBITDA.
·        Meanwhile, Morrisons is managing to hold share as part of a gradual turnaround.
·        The switching back to brands reduces the risk of shoppers becoming loyal to own-label equivalents…
·        …but the key question remains: What will Aldi do to restore growth vs Lidl?
hashtagMarketShares hashtag


Monday 15 July 2024

Tesco Aiming For Extra £1bn In Sales From Premium Range

 Tesco Aiming For Extra £1bn In Sales From Premium Range

The CEO of Tesco has revealed that the retailer is targeting an extra £1bn in sales for its Finest own-label range to meet growing demand for premium food & drink and challenge the likes of Waitrose and M&S.

Finest currently has annual sales of £2bn. Speaking to the Financial Times, Ken Murphy said: “We haven’t yet set our stall out to say ‘what would it take to get to £3bn’, but we’re very conscious it is playing an increasingly important role.”

He added: “We genuinely believe . . . that our intrinsic [food] qualities are every bit as good as anything you would get at Sainsbury’s and increasingly out of Waitrose … M&S, we probably still have a bit of work to do.”

The report notes that in the face of higher living costs, shoppers are shunning restaurants and becoming more adventurous with their cooking at home.

Data from Kantar shows that spending on premium own-label lines in the leading UK supermarkets rose 12% in the year to 9 June even as inflation eased. The figure was also nearly double the 6.9% growth in all brands owned by the grocers, including their budget ranges.

The FT highlighted that Tesco’s Finest products account for only over 3% of the group’s £61.4bn sales, although this is equivalent to about a quarter of Waitrose’s total sales and M&S’s food sales, respectively.

However, it has taken Tesco about a decade to reach the £2bn level from £1.4bn in sales in 2013. Murphy did not reveal whether there was a target date set for getting sales to £3bn, but Clive Black, a retail analyst at Shore Capital, told the FT that it would not be earlier than “the medium and long term before that number is reached” given that the industry’s annual growth is relatively modest.

NamNews Implications:
* ‘Shoppers are shunning restaurants and becoming more adventurous with their cooking at home…’
* …heightening consumer awareness of the difference made by quality ingredients…
* …and the home-cost of ingredients vs the price paid in hospitality.
* All potential threats to ‘eating out’ long term.
* Apart from increased savviness re branded equivalents in store.
One to watch…
hashtagOwnLabel hashtagHospitality

Thursday 11 July 2024

Co-op’s Retail Media Activities Boosting Brand Sales In Neighbouring Grocery Stores

 Co-op’s Retail Media Activities Boosting Brand Sales In Neighbouring Grocery Stores

Research by Co-op – in partnership with Circana – shows retail media activity for brands in its convenience stores not only boosts its own sales but also generates up to four times more sales in surrounding grocery outlets.

Brands seem to benefit from a halo effect when advertising in Co-op shops, which can boost sales in the longer term. Circana found a ‘global beer brand’ RM Co-op campaign increased sales by 12% in Co-op stores + a 3% uplift in nearby non-Co-op stores.

The non-Co-op stores uplift was 4x total incremental sales value in Co-op stores. Circana said the impact on total sales due to halo stores where the sales uplift occurred and the larger pack sizes bought in those stores.

Dean Harris, Head of Co-op Media Network, commented: “The Co-op Circana results show when brands activate campaigns with Co-op, there is an immediate positive sales impact [not only] in our store, but also with competitors in the surrounding area. As an RMN, our main goal for the brands that advertise with us is to generate sales regardless of where that customer purchases the product.”

Convenience is a frequently shopped channel for top-up missions, often in addition to a bigger shop. The data showed that Co-op shoppers engage the most with other grocers, which provides convenience retail media with an extra amplifier effect on halo sales.

Harris continued: “The analysis of the beer campaign shows that by influencing brand purchase decisions in other non-Coop stores, the retail media activation is able to generate higher incremental sales by tapping into larger pack sizes available in supermarket stores.

“This halo effect data is incredibly insightful and gives further confidence to talk to our clients about the power of retail media in the convenience setting.”
Mark Hurst, EMEA Head of Retail Media at Circana: “As the advertising industry continues to expand traditional retail media inventory and accelerate digital and addressable channels and privacy regulations limit traditional measurement methods, retailers are increasingly in need of more agile and accurate ways to measure campaign performance across channels and tactics.
“Being able to analyse media lift through a range of sales-based measurement approaches, including Test & Learn, tactical comparisons and mid-campaign analysis, results in faster and more cost-effective decision making, enabling retailers like the Co-op to demonstrate brand impact and how it drives incremental value.”
Co-op launched its retail media network early this year, claiming it was the first in the convenience sector.

Namnews Implications:
* Think of the halo-impact when several mults are advertising the same brand via retail media…
* “(Our Goal) to generate sales regardless of where that customer purchases the product.”
* i.e. A compelling sales proposition.
* Begging the question: Who needs blunt traditional media?