Sunday 16 October 2016

'Back in 10 minutes', a study in communication....


Following my walk to a local convenience store for the Sunday papers, I was confronted by a locked door and a notice: 'Back in ten minutes'

This phrase followed all the guidelines of clear simple communication, bar the key element that mattered...  As a result, I was left pondering whether we were at the end, middle or start of the 10-minute waiting period'. Given all the freedom of a deadline-free Sabbath, I was able to further ponder if time could be taken literally in such cases.

In other words, in our working lives we are often confronted by millisecond put-offs such as 'With you in a second' from a shop assistant busy finishing a text... Or even closer to home, 'Dave, got a minute to OK our response to the Marmite price-hike?'

Anyway, by that time, Ahmed the shop owner arrived, reopened the door and following a brief discussion re the problem of simple communication being the most difficult, handed me my change with an invitation to 'Get a life, Brian' and returned to his Sabbath-free deadlines.....

Thursday 6 October 2016

Walmart chase Amazon, catch up not guaranteed...

News that Walmart are accelerating their roll-out of warehouses, robotising logistics, randomising warehouse shelf- placement, speeding up delivery and devouring a host of e-startups all points to the fact that they have simply applied to enter a race with the advantaged innovator...

However, satisfied users of Amazon's service already take for granted infinite choice, 1-click ordering, 100% availability, 1-day (Prime-free delivery) and no-quibble returns.....

In other words, Amazon's entry requirements need to be met before Walmart can start running...

However, they will add interest to the race, and provide suppliers with a little more choice in what was beginning to seem like a 1-horse contest.

Suppliers that want to optimise online, also need to start with these Amazonian entry-standards, or move back to the sidelines...

Monday 3 October 2016

How has Asda responded to Morrisons’ ‘Price Crunch’ campaign?

Asda's round of price cuts of the 9th September suggests the following implications:

Where at: From a supplier’s point of view, the issue centres on the 609 products (73% on branded items) that Asda reduced in terms of shelf-prices on 8th September, by up to 34%

Where headed: Key will be the extent to which other retailers price-cut on these SKUs, if seen to drive incremental traffic into Asda

Effect on you: Suppliers of these SKUs will be impacted by consumer perception of ongoing perceived value, whilst suppliers of competitive SKUs will need to consider their options…

Action: Either way, worth digging into the Brandview analysis and exploring its potential impact on your mults business

Thursday 29 September 2016

Deliveroo lunchbox direct to your desk - a hundred years later!


Deliveroo have launched a new service to provide ready-to-eat restaurant food for office workers. Whilst this may spur Amazon to develop an equivalent revenue stream, both would limp way behind India’s 100-Year-Old Lunch Delivery Service.

For instance, every day in Mumbai, some 5,000 deliverymen - called dabba wallahs - hand deliver 200,000 hot meals to doorsteps across the city. It's an intricate network that requires precise timing and numerous hand-offs from courier to courier, there and back.

Apart from split second timing and 100% reliability, and to make sure each lunch pail ends up at the right place, each container has a hieroglyphic-like coding system painted on the lid.

More details here, and some will have seen ‘The Lunchbox’ a popular movie that immortalised the process.

Back in the UK, it remains to be seen how speed of uptake and the emergence of competition (plus a 'higher-tech' coding system that is more than a pale imitation of the Indian method) leads to the development and optimisation of yet another 1:1 route to consumer in food service, at the expense of traditional ‘on & off’ consumption. 

Wednesday 28 September 2016

Supermarket Price War Hits Sales At Sainsbury’s Whilst Argos Sees Robust Growth

Sainsbury’s has reported another fall in quarterly sales after it was forced to cut prices to remain competitive.

During the 16 weeks to 24 September, the chain’s like-for-like retail sales were down 1.1%, worsening from a 0.8% fall in its first quarter. However, Chief Executive Mike Coupe blamed the weak sales performance on food price deflation and said it had delivered like-for-like transaction growth across all channels and total volume growth.

The group added that it had now removed the vast majority of multi-buy promotions in favour of lower, regular prices which was helping it generate its highest-ever customer satisfaction scores. During this quarter, Sainsbury’s highlighted that it had made significant cuts in the price of broccoli, onions, Margherita pizza and its own-brand nappies.

Sainsbury’s convenience business and general merchandise offer continued to outperform its supermarkets with growth of 7% and 4% respectively. Its online grocery service also delivered 8% sales growth and nearly 12% growth in customer orders.

Meanwhile, the group’s newly-acquired Argos business posted robust growth for its second quarter to 27 August. Total sales grew 3% whilst like-for-like sales were up 2.3%.

Coupe commented: “Our ambition is to help customers live well for less. We have made further investment in everyday low prices and continue to improve the quality of our products. Our general merchandise and clothing offer is popular with customers and the acquisition of Home Retail Group will accelerate our multi-product, multi-channel strategy.”

He added: “We expect the market to remain competitive and the effect of the devaluation of sterling remains unclear. However, Sainsbury’s is well positioned to navigate the changing marketplace and we are confident that our strategy will enable us to continue to outperform our major peers.”

Commenting on the results, John Ibbotson, director of retail consultancy Retail Vision, said after outperforming its peers in recent years, Sainsbury’s has come down to earth with a bump. “The speed with which the tables have turned says much about the intensity of the competition in the market. A year ago Sainsbury’s was congratulating itself for retaining its middle-class clientbase while the German discounters decimated their rivals at Tesco and Morrisons,” he said.

“Now Tesco and Morrisons have staunched their losses and are fighting back with aggressive price cuts and some fundamental reforms to their structure. By contrast Sainsbury’s abolition of multi-buy promotions, and its introduction of simpler pricing, look distinctly underwhelming in the current brutal market conditions.”

However, he added that Argos should help boost Sainsbury’s bottom line in the short-term as well as improve its internet offer and logistics capability, adding: “But integrating the two firms will be time-consuming and distracting, and in the current environment Sainsbury’s cannot afford to take its eye of its core grocery business, even for a second.”

NAM Implications:
  • Where at: Sainsbury’s obviously on the way back, with the added complication of combining two business models – Sainsbury’s Food and Argos Non-food – and also B&M and online, with the City judging the company by total group performance, especially financials, in a market still influenced by discounter growth and convenience
  • Where headed: All of this in a run–up to an unprecedented Christmas price-war
  • Effect on you: Financial performance will colour Sainsbury’s relationships in terms of the lens through which they see supplier partnerships i.e. they will be particularly sensitive to financial impact on their performance in all business models
  • Action: From latest annual returns try to identify where your categories fit, then work out cost and value to Sainsbury’s of each element of your offering, and re-engineer where necessary

Saturday 24 September 2016