Wednesday, 19 April 2023

Co-op Becomes Latest Retailer To Offer Cheaper Prices For Members Of Loyalty Scheme


Just days after Sainsbury’s launched a scheme mimicking Tesco’s successful Clubcard Prices discounts, the Co-op has announced that it is introducing lower prices exclusively for members of its loyalty programme.

The move is part of the society’s plan to invest more than £240m, across the next five years, into its membership proposition in a bid to attract a million new members.

The lower prices across its 2,400 food stores will only be available to Co-op members, with the retailer claiming shoppers could save up to £300 a year.

Detailing the areas where shoppers stand to benefit the most, Co-op said members could save an average of £8 on its freezer filler deals, £1.45 on own-brand pizzas, £1.90 on ready meals and £5 on some wines deals.

The Co-op membership scheme will also continue to enable shoppers to earn 2p in every pound spent on its own-brand products that is returned to the member’s digital wallet, and raise funds for community causes.

Additionally, Co-op announced today that it was investing a further £15m this May to reduce the cost of more than 60 key lines in stores to help customers during the cost-of-living crisis. Products included in this price round of price cuts include lines such as fresh chicken breasts, bread and milk. The average reduction is claimed to be 13% for those moving down, with the maximum reduction at 33%

Kenyatte Nelson, Chief Membership & Customer Officer at Co-op, said: “For us to champion a better way of doing business, we are aiming to grow our membership base by one million over the next five years and will accompany this ambition with a compelling member-benefits programme, which will span our entire Co-op.

“Our initial member investment will be targeted within our food business and directly supports our pure convenience strategy. Currently, around 16 million shoppers visit our stores each week or trade online with us. Our ambition is that many will convert to being Co-op members when they see the clear value this can bring to both themselves and their wider communities.”

The group stated that new member-food benefits would be followed in time by additional investment from the Co-op’s other business areas in funeral care, insurance and legal services.

The new member prices in its food stores were launched today.

NAM Implications:
  • Tesco has demonstrated that it works.
  • And what about all that resulting shopping behaviour arising
  • (think Retail Media).
  • Begging the question of how soon Aldi will introduce loyalty cards for the same reason.
  • i.e. when a retailer has squeezed all the juice from margin and stockturn…
  • …RM revenue can become the only other option

Tuesday, 7 March 2023

Weaker Consumer Spending, Especially BIG TICKET, Impacting Costco

Costco’s sales growth continued to weaken during its second quarter, with the warehouse club operator missing analysts’ estimates as consumers made cutbacks amid persistently high inflation.

Having seen double-digit increases during the pandemic, Costco’s total comparable sales over the 12 weeks to 12 February rose 6.8%, excluding the impacts of changes in petrol prices and foreign exchange.

Comparable sales in its 584 outlets in the US rose 5.8%. The 107 stores in Canada saw a 9.6% rise, whilst its 157 overseas warehouses (including 29 in the UK) saw sales increase by 9.5%. However, the group’s e-commerce unit recorded an 8.7% decline as consumers reined in their spending and returned to shopping in physical stores.

The slowdown was highlighted in the latest figures for February, with total growth of only 5.0% after a much weaker performance in the US (+3.5%).

“We’ve seen some weakness in what I’ll call big-ticket discretionary items,” said finance chief Richard Galanti, adding electronics, jewellery and housewares, among others, were the worst performers in February and in the reported quarter.

Several US retailers have in recent weeks commented on how Americans have been changing their shopping patterns and seeking out more bargains and discounts as they deal with high inflation.

Retail bellwether Walmart warned last week consumers were increasingly shifting towards more food and consumable products, and away from general merchandise.

Galanti added: “Most major departments in general were down, with fresh foods being down a little more than others.”


NamNews Implications:

  • A global switch from consumer durables being experienced by most retailers.
  • Meaning consumers are postponing purchase…
  • …and ‘making do’ instead of replacing big-ticket items.
  • Those with long memories will recall 'Planned Obsolescence'...
  • The key issue is how long the consumer will forgo purchasing.
  • And IMO, anyone anticipating significant change within the next decade…
  • …should seek evidence to support their assumptions.
#BigTicket #PlannedObsolesence #Demand

Monday, 6 March 2023

Brands to Own Label Switchers - A Permanent Change?


A new study suggests that just over 70% of British consumers plan to keep buying supermarket own-label products even if inflation starts to ease, whilst simple discounts remain the most popular type of promotion.

According to the food & beverage trends report by research platform Attest, 7 in 10 consumers have no intention of reverting back to big brands after making the switch during the cost of living crisis in a bid to save money.

Of those that have, nearly 26% said they would ‘definitely’ stick with own-label lines, even if price wasn’t an issue, while a further 44.6% ‘probably’ would. Only 12.9% stated they wouldn’t stick with them, although Boomers showed the greatest intent to abandon own-label.

The survey also revealed that 58% of shoppers are visiting multiple supermarkets in person to hunt for the best prices. It found inflation caused some consumers to leave Morrisons, Tesco and Waitrose (high prices, lack of deals).

Out of six promotion types, discounting the price of a product is what shoppers want the most, closely followed by BOGOF deals. Offering a percentage of extra product free was ranked third, alongside a ‘pre-inflation price freeze’.

The research also details that discounts don’t need to be huge to incentivise shoppers. When asked for the minimum discount that is persuasive, the top answer was a 20% discount (for 38% of people). A further 22% would buy with a 30% discount, while 20% would be convinced by a discount of 10% or less.

Attest CEO, Jeremy King, said: “Faced with new pressures, British shoppers have evolved in behaviour, and have acquired a real taste for supermarkets’ own-label brands. This shift is driven by rapid price rises for all grocery and household products and may be permanent for several important sub-segments. Well-known brands that can’t compete on price are the losers here and face significant challenges.

“The big-name brands need to provide consumers with new, compelling reasons not to switch to own-label rivals, or in some cases motivate them to come back to big brands.

“This puts supermarket chains under serious pressure to either offer the best deals that beat other retailers and attract consumers, or to extend their own-label product lines to offer ever-increasing appeal to inflation-weary consumers.”

NamNews Implications:

  • A key issue has to be the tolerable amount of a brand premium.
  • i.e. how much extra a consumer is prepared to pay for the ‘certainty’ of a brand…
  • (despite the advent of shrinkflation in some cases)
  • All adding up to the effect of trust in the relationship.
  • Meanwhile, consumers realising by direct experience that ‘brands are not much better’?
  • …may take some persuading when things revert to ‘normal’…
#OwnLabel #Switch #Brand

Saturday, 28 January 2023

Aldi Buses In Customers From Rival Stores

Aldi has marked being crowned “Britain’s Cheapest Supermarket” for the second year running by laying on free bus rides to one of its stores from rival retailers in the area.

The stunt by the discounter featured bus stops placed outside Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda stores in Aylesbury, Bucks, with a Routemaster double-decker bus picking up shoppers and delivering them to the nearby Aldi.

Aldi quoted one Tesco shopper saying: “How funny! This has really made my day.”

Julie Ashfield, the retailer’s Managing Director of Buying, commented: “We’re so proud to have been named the UK’s cheapest supermarket for the second year running, we wanted to share the good news with customers and what better way than by giving shoppers a free ride to come and experience the lowest prices for themselves!”

Analysis released earlier this month by consumer watchdog Which? showed Aldi had narrowly beaten its main rival Lidl to be named the cheapest UK supermarket over the last 12 months. Aldi was the cheapest supermarket for seven consecutive months from June to December, while Lidl was the cheapest from January to May.

The results for the final month of the year in December showed a basket of 48 groceries on average was £81.63 at Aldi – £11.79 cheaper than Tesco and £14.08 cheaper than Sainsbury’s.

NamNews Implications:
  • An innovative use of Retail Media?
    {i.e. 'Grabbing' potential ready-to-buy potential customers 'in-the-aisle' and offering them a Route to a better deal, conveniently?
#RetailMedia

Thursday, 19 January 2023

Aldi Scrapping Online Delivery Service To Focus On Stores And Value

 

Click to enlarge

Aldi is axing its home delivery service for its non-food ‘Specialbuys’, as well as wine and spirits, to focus on opening new stores and keeping prices low.

The move will leave click & collect of groceries, which Aldi launched in 2020 across over 200 stores, as its only online operation when the other services come to an end this year.

The discounter launched home delivery of wines and spirits in 2015, which grew to offer shoppers many of its non-food Specialbuys exclusively online.

An Aldi spokesperson commented: “We keep our prices low by being the most efficient retailer in Britain, and we have therefore taken the decision to stop selling wine and spirits online for home delivery from later this month.

“We will also stop selling our Specialbuys online for home delivery later this year.”
Aldi currently has over 950 stores in the UK and hopes to reach 1,000 during 2023.

NamNews Implications
  • For me, this IGD stand-out slide of 2022, says it all about home delivery.
  • Aldi are obviously applying the same logic…
  • (also worth keeping in mind that even Amazon could only break even on online retail, at best)
  • Aldi dropping online delivery is a monumental step for retail...

Wednesday, 11 January 2023

Aldi Beats Lidl To Be Crowned Cheapest Supermarket Of 2022

Analysis by consumer watchdog Which? shows Aldi has narrowly beaten its main rival Lidl to be named the cheapest UK supermarket over the last 12 months.

Throughout 2022, Which? tracked hundreds of thousands of grocery prices across the eight major supermarkets (Aldi, Asda, Lidl, Morrisons, Ocado, Sainsbury’s, Tesco, Waitrose) to find out how much each shop was charging for everyday items such as bread, milk and eggs.

Overall, Aldi was the cheapest supermarket for seven consecutive months from June to December, while Lidl was the cheapest from January to May.

The results for the final month of the year in December showed a basket of 48 groceries on average was £81.63 at Aldi, just beating Lidl, where the basket was £83.24. Meanwhile, Waitrose was more than £30 pricier than Aldi, at £112.62 and was consistently the most expensive supermarket across the 12 months.
Alongside the price comparison of a basket of groceries at all eight supermarkets, Which? also compared a larger trolley packed with a greater selection of branded items that are not always available at the discounters – meaning they aren’t included in this bigger comparison.

Asda was the cheapest of the traditional supermarkets in December – as it has been every month for the last three years. Based on a larger trolley of 149 products, Asda’s total came in at £355.62, followed by Sainsbury’s (£368.97), Tesco (£375.97), Morrisons (£377.81) and Ocado (£386.68). At Waitrose, the total came to £406.95, £51.33 more than Asda.

Which? is currently campaigning for all supermarkets to do more to help customers during the cost of living crisis and has recently published a 10-point plan of steps across three key areas to help ensure affordable food is available to everyone who needs it.

“With food and drink prices putting huge pressure on household budgets, it’s no surprise to see many people turning to discounters like Aldi and Lidl when our research shows they could save up to £31 on a typical shop,” said Reena Sewraz, Which? Retail Editor.

“Which? believes all supermarkets have the ability to make a real difference to hard-hit households by ensuring everyone has easy access to basic, affordable food lines at a store near them, particularly in areas where people are most in need.”

NamNews Implications
  • While experts closer to grocery might split hairs re the methodology...
  • ...in the mind of the shopper, their perception of something like a 27% price difference between Aldi and Waitrose...
  • …has to make a shopping difference.
  • And will be reflected in grocery market shares.
  • Suppliers had better tune into shopper perception
  •  (Even in Aldi...)
  • Or suffer the consequences?
#BasketPrices #Cheapest

Thursday, 5 January 2023

Inflation Drives Record Christmas In Grocery Sector; Aldi Remains Fastest Growing Supermarket

Latest Kantar data shows take-home grocery sales rose 9.4% to a record £12.8bn in 4 weeks to 25 December, via inflation vs volume. Over 12 weeks, up 7.6%, with discounters continuing to outperform the mults. Whilst value sales were up £1.1bn in December vs Christmas 2021, volumes down 1%.

“This story played out across the traditional Christmas categories,” said Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar. “For example, value sales of mince pies soared by 19%, but volume purchases barely increased at all.”

Annual grocery price inflation 14.4% in December, down from 14.6% in November: “This is the second month in a row that grocery price inflation has fallen, raising hopes that the worst has now passed".

High inflation impacting how and what people buy.

Kantar: consumers buying supermarkets’ O/L with sales up 13.3%, vs 4.7% increase in branded lines.

McKevitt said: “The British supermarket sector is more competitive than ever and the grocers are keen to retain customers by offering their own festive alternatives, emphasising premium own-label.

Sales grew 10.2% to hit a £700m first time. Tesco’s Finest remains largest premium own-label, with Aldi and Lidl the biggest contributors to the premium own label sector’s overall growth in 2022.”

December, the mults' busiest month since the start of the pandemic - shop visits up 5.2% YOY.

Online grocery value sales up 4% YOY. Online’s total share vs Christmas 2021, down 0.6 percentage points to 11.6%.

Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Asda and Morrisons grabbed two-thirds of all spending.

Asda up 6.4%, Sainsbury’s and Tesco up 6.2% and 6.0% respectively, Morrisons down 2.9%

Aldi was the fastest-growing up 27.0%, market share up from 7.7% in 2021 to 9.1%. Lidl’s up 23.9%, market share up 0.9 percentage points to 7.2%.

Iceland’s sales grew by 10.2%, frozen poultry rising by 15% and frozen prepared foods by 18%. This pushed Iceland’s market share to 2.5%. Sales at Waitrose continued to weaken, down 0.7%, with its market share slipping from 5.1% to 4.7%.

NamNews Implications
  • ‘volumes were actually down by 1% year-on-year’ says it all for realists.
  • Added to which, many consumers were having a last hurrah... …before knuckling down to the realities of January’s demands on their purses.
  • Meanwhile “…value sales of mince pies soared by 19%, but volume purchases barely increased at all.”
  • i.e. the impact of inflation needs drumming into those in the business too easily mislead by top-line figures.
  • The moves to own-label and the discounters are again confirmed.
  • (with Aldi & Lidl continuing to grow share at the expense of the mults and Waitrose)
  • And will not easily be reversed...
  • In other words, it is hopefully obvious that suppliers planning to stay outside the discounter channel...
  • ...are at risk.

#MarketShares #OwnLabel #Discounters

Wednesday, 28 December 2022

Trailer misrepresents Movie, an unprecedented case for compensation?

On Friday 23-12-2022, The Times reported that Universal Studios is embroiled in a legal action that could cost it millions because they included Ana de Armas in the trailer for Yesterday, Danny Boyle’s 2019 movie about a struggling musician that discovers that no one but him has heard of the Beatles, and exploits that fact to become a superstar.

However, much to the disappointment of at least two fans, the Cuban-Spanish actress's scenes ended up on the cutting room floor.

Conor Woulfe and Peter Michael Rosza accused Universal of deceptive marketing after they paid $3.99 to rent the film, demanding $5m damages for themselves and others affected.

Unfortunately for Universal, a US Federal judge found it infringed Californian advertising law if a significant number of reasonable viewers could be misled. The case will now proceed to Clark action certification.

By refusing to dismiss the case, the judge ensured that Woulfe and Rosza were not saddled with Universal’s legal fees.

If the parties cannot settle, Universal may decide that this precedent is bad enough for them that they will invest a million dollars to fight it all the way to the end to try to get this precedent overturned.

NamNews Implications:
  • It looks like the court has decided that a movie trailer is a trade description...
  • ...and represents a condition of purchase.
  • By suing for $5m on a $3.99 purchase...
  • ...the case will get wide coverage.
  • Given that many viewers rely on a combination of write-ups and trailers for their choice of a streamed movie purchase/rental...
  • (and are invariably disappointed?)
  • ...it follows that this ruling opens up a whole new way for expressing that disappointment...
  • ...and being compensated for the gap between promise and delivery.
  • Watch this place...

Monday, 5 December 2022

Morrisons Suffers Credit Rating Downgrade

Morrisons has had its credit rating downgraded due to the £6bn worth of debt it is now saddled with from the takeover by CD&R and shrinking profits amid poor sales performance.

Credit rating agency Fitch highlighted that the struggling grocer has been pushing up prices faster than its rivals, causing it to lose market share. It also noted that soaring debt interest costs will lead to a £200m drain on Morrisons’ profits over the next three years. 

Fitch downgraded the Morrisons’ debt rating from a ‘speculative’ BB level, to a ‘highly speculative’ B+, suggesting a ‘material’ risk of it defaulting.

It is the latest blow for the retailer since it fell into the hands of CD&R last year and adds to growing concerns about the role of private equity firms, which rely on vast amounts of debt to fund takeovers.

In September, Morrisons reported a halving of third-quarter profits as it lost sales to the discounters and faced “unprecedented inflationary pressures” in its food manufacturing operations. The grocer’s like-for-like sales also fell 3.1% as more competitively priced chains tempted cash-strapped shoppers to their stores.

Chief Executive David Potts has come under pressure to revive the ailing chain, with industry experts branding the takeover by private equity “at best a distraction, and at worst a bit of a disaster”.
Morrisons was overtaken in market share terms by Aldi earlier this year, with Lidl stating last month that it had the “momentum” to leapfrog the traditional Big Four supermarket.

Despite the downgrade, Fitch said Morrisons’ sales decline would reverse in the coming year. It noted that the group’s performance would be boosted by the acquisition of McColl’s, which was cleared by competition regulators at the end of October.

NamNews Implications:
  • Key is where Morrisons goes from here.
  • Sale & leaseback of essential assets would be the obvious route for a PE-owned company, as interest rates rise...
  • Anticipate sale of all outlets, leaseback of profitable outlets...
  • ...as a way back to more profitable sales!
  • Meanwhile, ensure your fair share of sales & investment, going forward…
#PrivateEquity #SaleAndLeaseback #InterestRates

Monday, 28 November 2022

Waitrose Pledges More Support For Egg Suppliers

Following recent reports of shortages and the rationing of eggs in supermarkets, Waitrose has pledged a further £2.6m to go directly to UK egg suppliers.

The shortages have partly been blamed on a major outbreak of Avian flu. However, farmers argue that this is not the main problem, but a scapegoat, allowing the supermarket chains to distract customers from their refusal to pay egg farmers a sustainable price.

The egg industry has faced surging feed and energy costs, making production unviable for many farmers.

Waitrose noted that retailer’s farmers had “suffered through 18 months of extreme market volatility”. The retailer claims it constantly monitors the market and farming input costs, and has been increasing the price paid for eggs over the last 18 months

James Bailey, Executive Director at Waitrose, commented: “Without our farmers, we can’t function as a business. We’ve cultivated long standing relationships with ours, and paying them fairly and offering our customers free range British eggs are commitments that we simply won’t sacrifice, even when the going gets tough.

“We continue to have a good supply of 100% British free range eggs, which is testament to these strong relationships and our unwavering commitment to our farmers. As other retailers are seeing shortages, we have seen a slight rise in demand but we’re working hard to ensure we have the quality, high-welfare products on our shelves that our customers expect from Waitrose.”

Related item:
Why eggs are being rationed

NamNews Implications:
  • Waitrose has pledged a further £2.6m to go directly to UK egg suppliers.
  • A pointer for all…
  • This is all about sharing inflationary profit increases.
  • Else the hens/owners will reduce production.
  • A no-brainer issue of knife-edge economics…
#EggShortages #AvianFlu #ChickenShortages #FairShare

SPAR Planning To Extend Own Label Range


SPAR has revealed that it plans to develop its own-label range across more frozen, ambient and non-food items next year to cater to cash-strapped consumers during the cost of living crisis.

Speaking to trade publication The Grocer, the symbol group’s Managing Director Louise Hoste noted that shoppers were actively seeking own-label lines in categories that were traditionally brand-led.

SPAR’s own-label range currently comprises around 1,000 lines across chilled, fresh and BWS, as well as frozen, ambient and non-food. It plans to create another 90 new lines during 2023 across the frozen, ambient and non-food categories.

Hoste is quoted by The Grocer as saying: “Own label share is growing faster than brands in categories such as health and beauty, and we are well-placed to meet this growing need. Frozen is a category which serves many customers’ needs at a keen price point, whilst also enabling customers to manage their food waste and being able to have meal solutions ready to go straight from the freezer.

“Inevitably, considering the cost of living crisis, the SPAR brand team are reviewing all categories to ensure customers have suitable options for their budgets, whether that is customers that are still looking to treat themselves with premium, or customers looking for value products.”

NamNews Implications:
  • It could be said that most grocery retailers are pursuing this option...
  • ...overtly or not.
  • Meaning brands need to increase their appeal vs, own label equivalent.
  • In a manner that fits most routes to market...
  • It used to be called tailor-making, folks!
#PrivateLabel #OwnLabel #Competition #Inflation

Thursday, 6 October 2022

Corona Launches Online Lifestyle Store

AB InBev has announced the launch of its online lifestyle store for its Corona beer brand.


The European shop is a collaboration with sports and lifestyle retail company Cube Partnership after a deal was brokered by AB InBev’s exclusive licensing representative IMG.

Corona’s lifestyle collection includes a range of organic cotton t-shirts and sweatshirts that are made using natural dyes and water-based prints.

In addition, all products use plastic-free packaging.

Maxime Pudzeis, head of licensing EMEA at AB InBev, said: “We are delighted to partner with Cube to create Corona’s first online lifestyle store. It will provide the perfect launchpad to expand and diversify our consumer offerings with sustainable products that embody everything people love about the Corona brand.

“Building on the success of Corona’s previous apparel collaborations, we are determined towards delivering exciting and innovative collections that truly elevate the consumer and partner experience to the next level.”

NamNews Implications:
  • Having survived and thrived through the ‘pandemic’, a beverage saddled with what could have been one of the most unfortunate brand names in history…
  • …is now opening an online lifestyle store.
  • AB InBev have to be congratulated for imagination and courage at all levels…
  • (Lesser companies would surely have ditched the brand?)
  • Perhaps a pointer at how we should all place Covid in perspective.
  • And revert to ‘Business as usual’ in spite of the unprecedented distractions…
#BusinessAsUsual #Unprecedented #Lockdown #ShoppingHabits

Monday, 3 October 2022

Retailers Have Stocked Up On Festive Goodies, But Will Anyone Buy Them?

Retailers were already feeling nervous before Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng launched their mini-budget for growth – and sent the pound into freefall and mortgage rates soaring.


The industry may have bought its stock for the peak trading season, so the fall in the value of the pound will not affect prices or profits until next year.

The main short-term concern before Christmas, when most consumer industries make the majority of their profits, will be consumer sentiment and spending power.

Read the full article on The Guardian website

NamNews Implications:
  • Taking some of the pressures on consumers:
    • Mini-budget fiasco sending pound into freefall and mortgage rates soaring.
    • A pause in house sales
    • Domestic renters in fear of rent increases
    • Benefit cuts
    • Spending on expensive items down
    • Skipping the little extras
    • Trading down to supermarket own label or discounters
    • Spare cash left after paying for essentials plummeted 10% in August for the average family
    • Outstanding net credit card debt has risen on average by 0.9% per month since the start of the year (No one appears to be mentioning authorised and unauthorised overdrafts at 40%...)
    • Autumn long-feared energy bills hit doormats
    • Clothing, homewares, nights out and trips away must all be on the list of household budget cuts
    • A general feeling of economic malaise and fear about the future
  • Fancy some Christmas shopping...?
#HouseholdCutBacks #MiniBudget #FallingDemand #ChristmasShopping

Thursday, 29 September 2022

Open-Book Accounting, Post Lockdown

UK supermarkets agreeing to ‘Open Book’ deals with suppliers amid an energy crisis can be a step forward in terms of supplier-retailer collaboration. Patently the root cause/s of this development are far more complex and threatening than an unanticipated hike in the price of energy.

In fact, what we are currently witnessing is the latest stage in a process that kicked off with the 2008 global financial crisis, when the cost of consumers bailing out ‘banks that were too big to fail’ began an era of low inflation and interest rates that was used in an effort to stimulate demand. The resulting and excessive ‘quantitative easing’ or printing of money caused a build-up of debt whereby a global shock was required to attempt to re-set global economies via a 2.5-year series of Lockdowns.

As markets recovered unevenly, imbalances of supply and demand resulted in soaring inflation affecting fuel/energy, supply shortages, and changes in shopping patterns, all causing chaos on shelf.

Suppliers and retailers have now been pitched into each other’s arms with the aim of collaborating or die…

Open Book Accounting (OBA) is but one aspect of this new level of partnership. In fact, NamNews quoted trade magazine The Grocer in reporting recently that industry experts are calling for supermarkets to work more closely with suppliers to prevent the energy crisis from causing food shortages.

Sources told The Grocer that some retailers were taking a collaborative approach and agreeing to so-called ‘open book’ deals. For instance, this enables both sides to track suppliers’ energy bills and take them into account during cost price increase negotiations.

At its simplest level, OBA is a ‘safe’ business practice where a company shares key financial information with stakeholders such as funders, clients, suppliers, investors, or contractors.

However, whilst ‘opening the books’ can be a major cultural change for many companies, extreme times require extreme measures, and when introduced in highly competitive retailer-supplier environments, there can be consequences…

Essentially an OBA relationship embraces a mix of Commitment, Focus, Trust, Integrity, Effective Communication, and a determination to work collaboratively in solving problems-in common. All in a highly stressed and uncertain environment where trust is paramount.

Positive
On the plus side, benefits can include:
  • New levels of collaboration between retailer and supplier
  • Resulting financial transparency improves performance
  • Members of supply chains can benefit from less overlap and costly buffering
  • Working capital usage can be optimised by relating invoice settlement to shorter, more efficient order cycles
  • Can provide a trustworthy basis of actual costings that reflect the true risk and effort for each party, minimising the need for second-guessing
One way of ensuring delivery of these benefits is for the partners to work to a P&L-in-common (see below).

Negative
Potential downside impacts of OBA can include:
  • OBA requires a massive cultural change in each organisation, top to bottom
  • Use of skills unavailable in-house e.g. independent auditors (cost, delays, objectivity)
  • Degree of detail required can be information and resource-intensive
  • Requires openness, trust and transparency that will take time to develop
  • Increased job-mobility increases the risk of information-leakage

It is hopefully obvious that OBA depends on the establishment and maintenance of long-term working relationships, especially in an environment where retailers often see rapid buyer job-rotation, sometimes six-monthly, as a way of minimising the close NAM-Buyer working relationships that make it difficult to negotiate tough deals with people you like…

In terms of NAM and Buyer, OBA obviously raises a number of issues for each party:
  • A supplier has direct experience of their brand cost structure in a given category
  • A retailer could have access to all brand costs of all category members (i.e. optimum methods of production, methods and ingredients combination)
  • Risk of incremental growth of own label at the expense of brands, via the use of brand-production insights
  • Global suppliers and retailers will have access to differences in fuel/energy prices/increases in different countries (distraction at local level especially given the relative lack of pointers in mainstream media)
Ways of optimising an OBA relationship in practice
OBA needs high degrees of trust and collaboration in supplier-retailer relationships, given that its effectiveness requires that partners share data and financial information about costs incurred in every part of the supply chain. Both parties can use this insight to ensure that costs are kept low, without compromising other aspects of the joint supply chain.

Confidentiality is a must-have, but realistically, if both parties continue to derive more benefits from collaboration than the quick hit of exploiting business secrets, there is a reasonable chance that leakages will be kept at manageable levels. Nevertheless, pragmatists on either side are unlikely to forget who is on the other side of the table…

Also, in most organisations, there will be ‘trade secrets’ that will never be opened up to anyone, even the company’s local management, let alone second or third parties… This can often take the form of the ‘magic ingredient’, a formula handed down from the owner’s great-grandparent and now securely locked in a bank vault overseas, often in a low-tax environment like Switzerland. This vital ingredient, with a transfer price designed to syphon off profits from overseas subsidiaries, ensures that corporation tax obligations are kept manageable, even in unprecedented times...

In terms of day-to-day negotiation, given the benefit of OBA and their ‘open’ access to much detail in the joint supplier-retailer business, time normally spent on adding value to concessions, devaluing concessions from the other party, and explaining/excusing our inability to comply with impossible requests or enter no-go areas, energies can be redirected to joint exploration of mutual gain. Using real data, with less time needing to be spent on validation, results can be tracked via the joint P&L. In other words, Buyer-NAM time can be more productively spent on the ‘How?’ rather than ‘Why?’ of dealing with joint trading issues, hopefully to more effect.…

Moreover, in terms of individual negotiation sessions, the Size of the Deal on the Table can be quantified quickly, allowing a joint placing of the session in context using real data:
  • Customer’s share of the category?
  • Private label share of category?
  • Our share of their business (£, %)
  • Our share of their category (£, %)
  • Size of the deal for them (£, %)
  • Size of the deal for us (£, %)
Choosing the right partner
Given the risk of OBA going wrong, especially in the current climate, it is vital that extreme care is taken in choosing the right Invest customer. In other words, OBA should only be considered for customers meeting the following criteria:
  • Potential (Immediate importance, life-cycle, market share)
  • Partnership (Strategic alignment, relationship possibility, cultural fit, consumer match)
  • Profit (Share of profit vs. share of sales)
  • Performance (Relative competitive advantage within the customer, share of category)
The results of this new level of risk-taking needs to be captured in an enhanced customer account management tool, as follows:

Customer Account Profitability impact (A P&L-in-common, sharing the net profit before tax in proportion to relative risk)

Given current crisis conditions in the market, desperate measures like OPA are required… Obviously, it cannot and will not be applied to all customers, but it can be a very effective basis for deeper relationships with Invest partners.

We are going to have to share what has always been confidential, and as you know it is always easier to be truthful than to add the extra pressure of having to lie consistently… Providing we take normal business precautions, and a customer meets the other criteria for Invest-Customer status outlined above, it may be worth considering this ultimate step in measuring the financial relationship, a P&L-in-common.

Essentially, this means extending our Customer Account Profitability model to use shelf price as the starting point, then adding in all retail costs to arrive at the supplier selling price, less all manufacturing and distribution costs, a percentage of national advertising & promotion related to the size of customer, and itemising all trade investment/funding for this customer, including retail media.

This leaves a joint net profit before tax to be split between supplier and retailer according to negotiated agreement of relative risk for the two parties. The joint P&L thus represents a final measure of each party’s trust in the costs and value of the amounts involved, the ultimate measure of fair share!

OBA represents a major breakthrough in supplier-retailer relationships, with trust as an essential bedrock, but in the new norm, there are few other real options.

Unless you prefer to return to the good old days of Them and Us…?