Friday, 17 March 2017

A failed attempt at bridging the generations…again?



You have no doubt seen the TV advt (above) featuring the trendy dad in latest enviable car, attempting to fist-bump his 14 yr old daughter before she exits to meet her pals at school....

Well, yesterday at schools-out time, I boarded a local bus. I made my way to the back, where two 13/14 yr old creatures sat staring at the floor as I advanced.

Putting it down to natural modesty, I gave them a reassuring grandad smile and sat opposite. I was then subjected to a high-intensity eye-roll reaction to my Nike Air Max trainer trendiness as they reverted to their texting conversation...

One needs plenty of self-confidence in this town, I find.....

Am I alone in this? 
(Please add personal experiences in 'comnments' or if you prefer, personal email to bmoore@namnews.com !!)

Thursday, 16 March 2017

The Little Guys Matter Too…..

Although the growth in customer concentration at the top end of most trade sectors, especially UK grocery, has been halted by the advance of the discounters, and global is becoming increasingly local, combined with our increasing ability to communicate directly with the consumer via social media, it could be said that major customers are ‘more manageable’ and thereby less threatening…

In addition, the relative difficulty in influencing online shopping behaviour combined with the high cost of servicing small accounts, could cause us to forget the potential advantages of cultivating and developing business with small customers, especially as a means of keeping our mults ‘under control’ and moving towards fair share dealings.

For instance, as we enter a post Article 50 Brexit environment, the UKs ‘re-appreciation’ of independent retail presents potential lessons in channel re-alignment for local and global consumption.

Four major elements are changing UK channel configuration, firstly causing a significant power-shift within convenience, as the two radically different cultures of Tesco and the Co-op continue to develop the top end of the arena and Sainsbury's increasing rely on convenience for growth…

Moreover, discount drug is in a state of flux, courtesy of Hutchison Whampoa, who incidentally also have ambitions in the distribution of mobile telephony, and as a result, are re-defining their business model in retail…

To this must be added the near certainty that the government will further de-regulate retail pharmacy (self-medication) as a way of easing pressure on the national purse, allowing grocery retail and discount drug to compete aggressively with traditional pharmacy, the only real constraint being the availability of qualified pharmacists…

Given the basics of supply and demand, it seems obvious that those with deeper pockets with which to fund a 'golden hello' are unlikely to suffer from such shortages…

And all this at a time when Walgreens Boots Alliance continue to roll out their global strategy, everywhere….

Whilst ‘risk-seekers’ are prepared to tolerate/encourage ‘extreme’ trade concentration, many suppliers may prefer to spread risk by building and maintaining effective distribution at the lower end of the trade.

As the future is probably more about store-level retail competition, then suppliers should prioritise ‘Intrapreneurial’ store managers within the multiples’ superstore base. However, whilst such managers are/can be highly qualified, and motivated by share options and career aspirations, nothing beats the dedication and focus of an entrepreneurial owner-manager that has managed to survive global recession and flat-line demand, attempting to optimise the performance of a small outlet, living with the constant distraction of overdraft constraints and other life-or-death issues associated with small business survival.

However, whilst small independents undoubtedly need professional help, they are often unwilling/unable to pay market rates. Even if suppliers are willing to supply a version of this help via consultative-selling at outlet level, it is unlikely that full compliance will yield sufficient return on investment in terms of sell-through.

The answer has to be to seek to work with ‘natural-groupings’ via wholesalers, symbol groups and dedicated third-party organisations designed to manage the entire marketing-sales-merchandising role at independent level.

Successful partnership with such intermediaries requires NAM/KAM-level analysis of the partners’ organisational needs, taking a realistic view of the degree of trade-off in having to share their resources with other suppliers, coupled with their need to achieve acceptable levels of return on investment at outlet level.

Providing tailor-made solutions, fully integrated with the intermediary’s own marketing aspirations, targeted at optimising performance at outlet level, can help ensure the achievement of ‘fair share’ vis a vis other suppliers in their portfolio.  

This treatment of the intermediary as a ‘national account’ and managing them appropriately can help in optimising resource allocation across the supplier’s customer portfolio.

Whilst dedicated intermediaries can be of considerable help in managing existing independent sectors cost-effectively, suppliers should also be sensitive to opportunities to cultivate new customers in emerging channels, i.e. there are 17,000 postmasters in the UK capable of granting potential access to 28 million consumers/shoppers each week….

Finally, for those small retailers outside the ‘loop’, who wish to remain independent because they ‘like it that way’, and are by definition highly individual, one can thankfully rely upon the rule of large numbers in finding groups with needs that are sufficiently similar and have sufficient critical mass to make tailor-making a viable option. The solution can then be to design template-variants aimed at meeting the needs of these ‘obvious’ segments. All that remains is to find appropriate media with which to communicate those solutions…

This concrete recognition and development of independent retail options will not only help to balance channel-mix but will also enable the supplier to manage the mults, and thus help to preserve brand integrity…

Alternatively, suppliers have the option of ignoring the little guys and spending the extra cash on fire-proof clothing for the 2017-18 kitchen…?

Tuesday, 14 March 2017

Waitrose doing something by halves could result in a thorough spring clean ....?

                                                                                                                                    pic: Brian Moore

Supermarkets Using “Shocking” Tactics To Obtain Money From Suppliers

The GCA needs a basis for taking action, your experience can help:

  • The key to better working relationships i.e. willing adherence to the spirit rather than letter of the law has to be in the hands of suppliers that are willing to come forward...
  • i.e. If many suppliers complain of the same type of treatment, then ‘an isolated incident’ can become an issue…

Friday, 10 March 2017

Lots of testers, helpers and mums-to-please, but it ain't over until the shopper engages......

                                                                                                                                pic: Brian Moore

Monday, 6 March 2017

When the client actually knows best, despite the research...

Today's emphasis on Big Data as a must-have in brand marketing reminds me of my early ventures in giving business advice to a Danish dairy company re the fact that their UK butter offering might prove confusing to UK shoppers because of its 'haphazard' changes in colour from yellow to white and back again during the year.

Despite my farming and Mom 'n Pop store upbringing in less politically-correct times, I persisted in recommending a purist marketing approach to this farmers' cooperative in that a consumer-test was essential in establishing whether white or yellow was the preferred colour. This insight would then determine whether the product should be bleached or coloured yellow to match consumer need...

The client politely pointed out that theirs was a natural product whose colour reflected the cow's seasonal diet, and told me they did not think much of my reservations re the brand name either...

I often wonder what ever became of Lurpak over the years...

Friday, 24 February 2017

Aldi's down-to-earth proof-of-origin

According to ESM: The European Supermarket Magazine, Aldi Süd are piloting Isotope Analysis to guarantee produce source by locality/region...more details here.

Apart from savvy consumers’ interest in establishing the source of their food, this Aldi initiative will also help in allaying doubts regarding discounters ability to provide like-for-like produce at prices lower than the mults.

In addition to adding cost to the sourcing process, this will heighten consumer curiosity as to the origin of other products available in discounters.

In the UK, this increase in their costs would result in a reduction in the pricing advantage enjoyed by the discounters, but if this proof-of-origin initiative gives Aldi a competitive advantage, others will follow…

Interesting how the cookie crumbles...

Wednesday, 22 February 2017

The extra little help Tesco Ireland does not need during a strike.....

Students and Scargill show support.

A St Pat's lecturer brought her students to Tesco yesterday to teach them about the strike. According to The Journal, the DCU Lecturer from St Patrick’s Campus in Drumcondra, Dublin brought her students to the local Tesco so that workers could inform them about the nature of the strike action.

This comes as the Union of Students in Ireland (USI) reaffirmed its support for the industrial action after workers at Tesco Drumcondra stated that local students had been crossing the picket line and entering the store.

In addition, The Irish Times reports that the terms of employee contracts at Tesco have come under criticism from former British trade union leader Arthur Scargill, who joined workers on the picket line at two of the 23 striking stores on Saturday.

Given that the workers affected by the old contract appear to represent approximately 2% of the Tesco workforce in Ireland, perhaps a defensible way of buying out the old contracts may be the only pragmatic option?

Monday, 20 February 2017

Kraft-Unilever, file closed, now what?

Kraft-Heinz's weekend agreement to withdraw its offer to take over Unilever will not be the end of the story...
  • Fundamental issues remain for each party
  • K-H still need to improve Sales and Margin growth, with acquisition the fastest route
  • In preparing for the Unilever bid, K-H's appetite for Home & Personal Care margins will have been whetted... (think Colgate, Kimberly Clark etc. etc.)
  • Also, Unilever coverage of emerging markets is complementary to that of K-H, see other options of similar profile
  • Meanwhile, moving back from the stock exchange spotlight, Unilever will need to make some signigficant changes to indicate it has 'learned' from the encounter...(think refinition of 'core', sell-offs etc, and more cuts...)
  • More significantly, K-H have demonstrated that a company can make a credible bid for a target more than 3x its size in sales revenue...
  • In other words, anything goes in terms of potential takovers, anywhere...
A what-if is never wasted...

Thursday, 9 February 2017

Need high-level help with a de-listing?

How about trying a trump card?

International Business Times reports that President Trump has tweeted against retailer Nordstrom for dropping Ivanka’s fashion line: "My daughter Ivanka has been treated so unfairly by ‪@Nordstrom. She is a great person -- always pushing me to do the right thing! Terrible!"

A pointer for well-connected NAMs everywhere?

Tuesday, 7 February 2017

Amazon's supermarket of the future could operate with just 3 staff - and lots of robots

According to the New York Times (as quoted in Business Insider) both Amazon Go and the new supermarkets (10,000 to 40,000 sq. ft. two storey) would contain no cashiers, no registers, and no lines. Instead, they would rely on an app on customer's phones that would detect items picked off shelves for purchase.

No one really expected Amazon to simply make a better version of what is available…

The issue for other retailers has to be how to find ways of copying – and improving upon – these amateur shopkeepers who realise that all a consumer wants on the shop floor are 4,000 items that shoppers "like to touch," such as fresh meat, fruit, vegetables, and eggs, while robots complete the shopping list upstairs..

Meanwhile, suppliers need to figure out ways of keeping their brands on that shopping list. 

What about the complainers that don't...?


Thursday, 12 January 2017

Tesco Continues Recovery with Solid Q3 and Christmas Trading Results

Tesco latest Trading Results sugests the following Implications for NAMs:

Where at: In a relatively flat demand environment, it could be said that Tesco is growing at the expense of Asda and Sainsbury’s in the mults channel and slowing the growth of the discounters, at best

Where headed: For this to continue, Tesco will have to sustain its relative competitive appeal…

Effect on you: This has to mean continued pressure on resisting supplier cost price increases…

Action: Essential that branded NAMs reassess the degree of match between their consumer profiles and the traffic-profiles of individual mults, as a basis for differentiated trade strategies that optimise supplier labelling of customers as invest, maintain or divest, and negotiate their cost-price increases accordingly


Wednesday, 11 January 2017

Food Suppliers Squeezed As Recovering Supermarkets Push To Remain Competitive

Latest news of cost-increase resistance by buyers raise the following issues for NAMs:

Where at: Surprise, surprise! Whilst pragmatic NAMs do not expect retail buyers to roll over and accept cost-price increases, some state of equilibrium will be required to minimise supplier concentration and less choice…

Where headed: …if fewer, more powerful suppliers emerge in the coming months

Effect on you: Smaller players in niche categories can survive by optimising their (realistic) place in the market

Action: Time to revisit fundamentals of real consumer demand vs. available alternatives to define core proposition. Then numbers, numbers, numbers to calculate cost and value and build a financial rationale

Alternative use of redundant retail space?

    King's Mall, Hammersmith

Monday, 9 January 2017

Disappointing Results for Discounters whilst Tesco and Morrisons Continue their Recovery

Latest News of Christmas trading raise the following implications for NAMs:

Where at: The combination of intense price-warfare and consumer expectation ‘that 2017 will be more expensive’ gave a boost to most Christmas sales, while suppliers and retailers absorbed pent-up cost-price increases

Where headed: Q1 will reflect real world conditions in terms of price increases i.e. a re-set in relative performance where historical performance counts less..

Effect on you: Opportunities for pro-active NAMs while competitors await trends and perhaps an expectation of a return to normal

Action: Why not assume that you are re-launching everything in Q1 and re-assess your relative competitive appeal on that basis?


Thursday, 5 January 2017

M&S Agrees To Grocery Price Rises Following Supplier Threats


Marks & Spencer has reportedly accepted wholesale price rises of up to 15% on some of its grocery lines after suppliers threatened to withdraw their products.

Where at: Clearly at the limits of supplier & retailer cost absorption, with ‘public’ announcements best left to the post-agreement stage

Where headed: Some face-saving rationalisation, knowing that scale savings rarely transfer directly into significant reductions in cost of production

Effect on you: opportunity for NAMs in other customers to watch from the ringside, and learn from premature moves

Action: Stick to defensible price increases based on latest analysis of competitor and customer financials…

Tuesday, 13 December 2016

Tesco continues to outpace rivals (Kantar)

However, behind the headlines:

Where at: Great to see Tesco on the way back, but digging beneath the surface, growth is in premium private label, echoing similar trends in other mults. Add the rapid growth of Aldi and Lidl, at the expense of brands, and a more worrying trend becomes more obvious…

Where headed: In other words, unless branded suppliers find ways into private label and into the discounters via ‘safe’ SKUs

Effect on you: Brands are under threat, or at the very least, the brand premium is being reduced

Action: Time for branded suppliers to decide whether keeping the factory going, or maintaining diminishing brand equity is more important

Tuesday, 6 December 2016

The new reality of print media at street level

                                                                                                                                  pic: Nei Valente
In 1950 there were more than 1,500 newsstands across New York City.

Today's numbers are closer to 300 units, with newspapers and magazines playing a secondary role to snacks…

See 30 pics here



Amazon Zaps the Checkout

In another first, Amazon Go have developed a new, more convenient way of shopping.

Users with the Amazon Go app on their phones simply check into a store equipped for the system, put their phones away, shop to their hearts' content, then leave when they're finished. No waiting to pay.

As each item is picked up and held (or stored in a bag) by the shopper, the price is automatically added to the shopper's Amazon account and is deducted from the user's bank account when he or she leaves the store. The store gets the same info plus a copy of the item's SKU number for inventory management and accounting purposes.



Whilst this will cut cost and no doubt increase their sales, the real impact of this lateral leap by Amazon Go will be felt at supermarket checkouts…

In other words, whilst traditional stores have laboured for years at speeding up the process, encouraging self-scanning, and in effect making the same hole deeper as in traditional thinking, Amazon have eliminated the process in a move that will of necessity be copied by the multiples, or for speed, will be leased from Amazon…

Monday, 5 December 2016

Iceland Foods hits back at Icelandic government over trademark

This latest position in the Icelandic saga raises some issues for NAMs:

Where at: A distracting stalemate, with giving-in i.e. surrendering the trade-mark rights, or fighting the case, as the only apparent options for Iceland retail?

Where headed: The retailer is unlikely to give in. This leaves the Iceland government to initiate and incur legal costs, for as long as it takes…

Effect on you: Some resulting lack of focus within the retailer, making shorter term strategies the best option for suppliers

Action: From your experience of your category in Iceland, weigh up level of risk and tailor your initiatives accordingly…

A KamBlog insight from NamNews